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Amid Climate Change

MUNAWAR HUSAIN Authorities in Pakistan anticipate considerable climate-related decline in wheat production for the 2022-2023 season. And yet, food and agriculture experts are hopeful that production of zinc-enriched biofortifiedwheat will rapidly increase to approximately 5.4 million metric tonnes (MT) in the wheat cropping season of 2023, up from 3.5 MT in 2022. Zinc wheat has the potential to help bring food security to Pakistan, as well as help overcomewidespread and preventable zinc deficiency in the larger population. “Pakistan is leading the way globally when it comes to scaling zinc wheat production,”said Jenny Walton, HarvestPlus Head of Commercialization and Scaling, following a recent visit to Pakistan during which she inaugurated zinc wheat flour production at a chakkimill in Faisalabad. “Zinc wheat has commercial benefit for all supply chain players and results in a nutritious product that consumers need and want,” she added. The owner of a chakkimill in Faisalabad, Mahboob Ahmed, echoed this sentiment, “At my mill there is a no difference in the price of the whole grain wheat flour made from zinc-enriched varieties compared to conventional wheat varieties. My income has increased as more people are coming to my shop to buy zinc wheat flour.” He added, “I am thankful to HarvestPlus for building my capacity to supply people of my area with zinc wheat flour, which is good for their health and supports their immunity against diseases.” Pakistan faces serious challenges of food insecurity and malnutrition, especially among women and children. Nearly one in every five children under five years old and over 20 percent of women are zinc deficient. Climatic changes including extreme flooding have further deteriorated the situation. Economists believe that malnutrition costs PakistanUSD 7.6 billion every year due to lost labor, healthcare expenses, and lower productivity of human capital. To date, three varieties of biofortifiedzinc wheat—Zincol 2016, Akbar 2019, and Nawab2022—have been developed by the National and Provincial Wheat Programs with the support of HarvestPlus.These varieties are available for production and consumption in Pakistan. “It is encouraging that millions of farmers have cultivated these zinc-enriched varieties due to their ability to provide high yield, resistance against diseases, and better zinc nutrition,” saidMuhammad Anjum Ali Buttar, Director General of Extension and Adaptive Research at the Agriculture Department, Government of Punjab. “There is need to keep the momentum going for the production of zinc wheat varieties so that micronutrient deficiencies of a sizeable population can be overcome,” he advocated. The warming climate is a direct nutritional and economic threat to billions of smallholder farmers who rely on staple food crops for much of their diet and income. “According to a recent World Bank report, rising temperatures may cause a 3-17 percent depletion of protein and nutrient content of crops, especially of iron and zinc. Crops may lose 8-10 percent of yield with rising temperatures,” said Munawar Hussain, an advisor to HarvestPlus in Pakistan. Hussain maintained that through conventional breeding, the increase in micronutrients in crops from biofortification can help compensate for expected nutritional losses amid climate change. Renowned agriculture scientist and member of Plant Sciences Division at Pakistan Agricultural Research Council, Dr. Imtiaz Hussain, said that Pakistan hasmissed its wheat production target for the last three out of four years due to effects of climate change. Heasserted that extraordinarily high 2022 temperatures in the months of March and April damaged the wheat crop at the time of grain formation, while in 2018-19 and 2019-20, weather was cold and conducive for wheat rust, a disease which resulted in low-yields. Wheat is consumed by 98 percent of the population of Pakistan daily. Hussain suggeststhe country will have to adopt rust resistant and heat and drought tolerant varieties of wheat to meet the growing food demands of the country. Specifically, Hussain recommends the cultivation of biofortified zinc wheat to address zinc deficiency among the people of Pakistan. “Research institutions in Pakistan have developed rust-resistant varieties of wheat that are also helpful in overcoming micronutrient deficiencies as they are zinc biofortified. There is a need to continue creating awareness among our wheat growers and farmers to switch to the biofortified zinc wheat varieties that better withstand the effects of climate change and provide better nutrition to our people,” said Hussain. The Government of Pakistan Ministry of National Health Services, Regulations and Coordination believe adoption of zinc wheat is imperative to public health. “Providing added zinc to the population by growing indigenously developed zinc wheat varieties is an easy, cost effective, and sustainable strategy to address zinc deficiency. Dietary zinc plays a crucial role improving immunity against diseases and contributes tothe physical and mental growth of children,” saidDr. Baseer Achakzai, Director Health Programs and Regulations. In Pakistan, HarvestPlus is striving to popularize biofortified zinc wheat varieties as part of an approach to combat micronutrient malnutrition and mitigate climate-related impacts on agriculture and nutrition

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